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Kenya Coastal Mangrove Case Study — Gazi Bay / Community Projects

Project type: Community-led mangrove conservation & carbon crediting • Region: Gazi Bay, Kwale County, Kenya • Prepared for: Investor briefing

Executive summary

Community-led mangrove restoration in Gazi Bay has delivered measurable carbon sequestration, resilient coastal protection and steady revenue from voluntary carbon credits. This project model combines community governance, participatory monitoring and conservative carbon accounting to create investable blue carbon outcomes.

Key project metrics

Area under conservation~ 200 ha
Estimated average carbon stock (TEC)~ 500 Mg C ha⁻¹
Estimated CO₂e (stock)~ 1,834 tCO₂e ha⁻¹
Recent verified credits sold~ 18,000 tCO₂e (2014–2023)
Community revenues to date~ US$ 144k

Notes: some values are sourced from peer-reviewed studies and project reports; others are conservatively modelled for investor illustration. See PDF footer for assumptions and data provenance.

Why invest?

  • High carbon density — mangroves store several hundred Mg C per hectare (soil-dominated pools).
  • Co-benefits — fisheries, shoreline protection, biodiversity and local livelihoods.
  • Proven delivery — community projects in Kenya (e.g., Mikoko Pamoja) have generated verified credits and distributed revenues.

Risks & mitigations

  • Risk: baseline uncertainty. Mitigation: periodic soil sampling + conservative IPCC defaults.
  • Risk: community governance. Mitigation: escrowed payments and transparent community funds.
  • Risk: permanence & leakage. Mitigation: insurance buffers and verified registry requirements.
Data provenance & assumptions: Primary project references include peer-reviewed carbon stock studies for Gazi Bay and project reports from Mikoko Pamoja and related community projects. Where exact site-level data was not available, conservative regional averages and IPCC defaults were used. The downloadable PDF lists full citations and marks mock data clearly.